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Bestseller
BestsellerE-book
Author Cooke, Roger.

Title Experts in uncertainty : opinion and subjective probability in science / by Roger M. Cooke.

Publication Info. New York : Oxford University Press, 1991.

Item Status

Description 1 online resource (xii, 321 pages) : illustrations.
Physical Medium polychrome
Description text file
Series Environmental ethics and science policy
Environmental ethics and science policy.
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index.
Contents Think tanks and oracles -- Expert opinion in practice -- Probabilistic thinking -- Heuristics and biases -- Building rational consensus -- Savage's normative decision theory -- Relative frequencies and exchangeability -- Elicitation and scoring -- Scoring rules for evaluating and weighing assessments -- Two experiments with calibration and entropy -- Combining expert opinions : review of the literature -- Classical model -- Bayesian model -- Psychological scaling models : paired comparisons -- Applications.
Summary This volume contains an extensive survey and critical examination of current views on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy-making.
Local Note eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America
Subject Science -- Philosophy.
Science -- Philosophy.
Science -- Methodology.
Science -- Methodology.
Uncertainty (Information theory)
Uncertainty (Information theory)
Probabilities.
Probabilities.
Decision making.
Decision making.
Indexed Term Science Philosophy
Genre/Form Electronic books.
Other Form: Print version: Cooke, Roger. Experts in uncertainty. New York : Oxford University Press, 1991 (DLC) 90022493
ISBN 9780195362374 (electronic book)
0195362373 (electronic book)
9780195064650 (acid-free)
0195064658 (acid-free)
0195064658 (acid-free)