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Author Mohaddes, Kamiar; Raissi, Mehdi; Weber, Ank.

Title Can Italy Grow Out of Its NPL Overhang? A Panel Threshold Analysis.


Item Status

Description 1 online resource
Series IMF Working Papers
IMF Working Papers.
Summary This paper examines whether a tipping point exists for real GDP growth in Italy above which the ratio of non-performing loans (NPLs) to total loans falls significantly. Estimating a heterogeneous dynamic panel-threshold model with data on 17 Italian regions over the period 1997-2014, we provide evidence for the presence of growth-threshold effects on the NPL ratio in Italy. More specifically, we find that real GDP growth above 1.2 percent, if sustained for a number of years, is associated with a significant decline in the NPLs ratio. Achieving such growth rates requires decisively tackling long-standing structural rigidities and improving the quality of fiscal policy. Given the modest potential growth outlook, however, under which banks are likely to struggle to grow out of their NPL overhang, further policy measures are needed to put the NPL ratio on a firm downward path over the medium term.
Local Note eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America
Subject Financial crises.
Financial crises -- Italy.
Genre/Form Electronic books.
Other Form: Print version: Mohaddes, Kamiar. Can Italy Grow Out of Its NPL Overhang? A Panel Threshold Analysis. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, ©2017 9781475588651
ISBN 1475588917 (electronic bk.)
9781475588910 (electronic bk.)
ISSN 1018-5941
Standard No. 10.5089/9781475588651.001