| Description |
1 online resource. |
| Physical Medium |
polychrome |
| Description |
text file |
| Series |
Intelligence, surveillance and secret warfare
|
|
Intelligence, surveillance and secret warfare.
|
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index. |
| Summary |
This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). |
| Contents |
Intro -- List of Figures and Tables -- Acknowledgements -- Introduction -- Part 1 Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: A Theoretical Perspective -- 1. Intelligence and Belief Acquisition -- A Taxonomy of Intelligence -- Intelligence as an Epistemological Act -- How Can Knowledge Be Acquired? -- Epistemological Implications for Intelligence -- 2. The Efficacy of ACH in Establishing Epistemic Justification and Mitigating Cognitive Bias -- The ACH Method -- The Ability of ACH to Reduce Epistemic Complexity -- Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: A Theoretical Perspective |
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Part 2 Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: An Empirical Perspective -- 3. The Efficacy of ACH in Mitigating Serial Position Effects and Confirmation Bias in an Intelligence Analysis Scenario -- Procedure -- Results -- Discussion and Conclusions -- 4 Predicting Serial Position Effects -- Experimental Conditions -- Results and Discussion -- An Examination of Previous Serial Position Effects Prediction Models -- The Impact of Analytical Conditions on Serial Position Effects -- 5 Predicting Confirmation Bias -- Additional Experimental Conditions -- Results and Discussion |
|
An Examination of Previous Confirmation Bias Prediction Models -- The Impact of Analytical Conditions on Confirmation Bias -- Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: An Empirical Perspective -- 6 Reducing the Risk of Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis -- Recommendations for Future Research and Best Practice for Intelligence Analysis -- Appendix -- Bibliography -- Index |
| Local Note |
eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America |
| Subject |
Intelligence service -- Methodology.
|
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Intelligence service -- Methodology. |
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Intelligence service. |
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Judgment.
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Judgment. |
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Cognitive science.
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Cognitive science. |
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Decision making.
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Decision making. |
| Genre/Form |
Electronic books.
|
| Other Form: |
Print version: 1474466346 9781474466349 (OCoLC)1136958924 |
| ISBN |
1474466362 (electronic book) |
|
9781474466363 (electronic book) |
|
1474466346 |
|
9781474466349 |
|
1474466354 |
|
9781474466356 |
|
