Description |
1 online resource. |
Physical Medium |
polychrome |
Description |
text file |
Series |
Intelligence, surveillance and secret warfare
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Intelligence, surveillance and secret warfare.
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Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references and index. |
Summary |
This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). |
Contents |
Intro -- List of Figures and Tables -- Acknowledgements -- Introduction -- Part 1 Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: A Theoretical Perspective -- 1. Intelligence and Belief Acquisition -- A Taxonomy of Intelligence -- Intelligence as an Epistemological Act -- How Can Knowledge Be Acquired? -- Epistemological Implications for Intelligence -- 2. The Efficacy of ACH in Establishing Epistemic Justification and Mitigating Cognitive Bias -- The ACH Method -- The Ability of ACH to Reduce Epistemic Complexity -- Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: A Theoretical Perspective |
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Part 2 Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: An Empirical Perspective -- 3. The Efficacy of ACH in Mitigating Serial Position Effects and Confirmation Bias in an Intelligence Analysis Scenario -- Procedure -- Results -- Discussion and Conclusions -- 4 Predicting Serial Position Effects -- Experimental Conditions -- Results and Discussion -- An Examination of Previous Serial Position Effects Prediction Models -- The Impact of Analytical Conditions on Serial Position Effects -- 5 Predicting Confirmation Bias -- Additional Experimental Conditions -- Results and Discussion |
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An Examination of Previous Confirmation Bias Prediction Models -- The Impact of Analytical Conditions on Confirmation Bias -- Intelligence, Bias and Belief Acquisition: An Empirical Perspective -- 6 Reducing the Risk of Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis -- Recommendations for Future Research and Best Practice for Intelligence Analysis -- Appendix -- Bibliography -- Index |
Local Note |
eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America |
Subject |
Intelligence service -- Methodology.
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Intelligence service -- Methodology. |
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Intelligence service. |
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Judgment.
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Judgment. |
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Cognitive science.
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Cognitive science. |
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Decision making.
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Decision making. |
Genre/Form |
Electronic books.
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Other Form: |
Print version: 1474466346 9781474466349 (OCoLC)1136958924 |
ISBN |
1474466362 (electronic book) |
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9781474466363 (electronic book) |
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1474466346 |
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9781474466349 |
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1474466354 |
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9781474466356 |
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