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Title Using models to estimate hog and pig inventories : proceedings of a workshop / Nancy J. Kirkendall, rapporteur ; Committee on National Statistics, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, Medicine.

Publication Info. Washington, DC : The National Academies Press, [2019]
©2019

Item Status

Description 1 online resource
Physical Medium polychrome
Description text file
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 85-86).
Contents Introduction -- Motivation and challenges -- The quarterly hog inventory survey -- Setting official estimates : the Hog Board -- Modeling efforts -- Web-scraping effects -- Modeling swine population dynamics -- Discussion of detection and monitoring -- Discussion of modeling -- Discussion of state-level estimation -- Discussion of visions for the future -- References -- Appendixes
Summary "In 2014, the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) engaged the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine to convene a planning committee to organize a public workshop for an expert open discussion of their then-current livestock models. The models had worked well for some time. Unfortunately beginning in 2013, an epidemic that killed baby pigs broke out in the United States. The epidemic was not fully realized until 2014 and spread to many states. The result was a decline in hog inventories and pork production that was not predicted by the models. NASS delayed the workshop until 2019 while it worked to develop models that could help in times both of equilibrium and shock (disease or disaster), as well as alternative approaches to help detect the onset of a shock. The May 15, 2019, workshop was consistent with NASS' 2014 intention, but with a focus on a model that can help predict hog inventories over time, including during times of shock. This publication summarizes the presentations and discussions from the workshop"--Publisher's description.
Local Note eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America
Subject Swine industry -- Models.
Swine industry.
Swine -- United States -- Statistics -- Congresses.
Swine.
United States.
Statistics.
Swine -- Breeding -- Statistics -- Mathematical models -- Congresses.
Swine -- Breeding.
Mathematical models.
Livestock -- United States -- Statistics -- Mathematical models -- Congresses.
Livestock.
Genre/Form Electronic books.
Conference papers and proceedings.
Conference papers and proceedings.
Added Author Kirkendall, Nancy J. (Nancy Jean), rapporteur.
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (U.S.). Committee on National Statistics, issuing body.
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (U.S.). Committee on National Statistics. Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences Education, issuing body.
Using Models to Estimate Hog Production (Workshop) (2019 : Washington, D.C.), author.
Other Form: Print version: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Using Models to Estimate Hog and Pig Inventories : Proceedings of a Workshop. Washington, D.C. : National Academies Press, ©2019 9780309495721
ISBN 9780309495752 (electronic book)
030949575X (electronic book)
9780309495738
0309495733
9780309495721