| Description |
1 online resource (xxi, 187 pages) |
|
data file |
| Physical Medium |
polychrome |
| Note |
"MR-1626." |
| Summary |
The checkered history of predicting the future-e.g., "Man will never fly"--Has dissuaded policymakers from considering the long-term effects of decisions. New analytic methods, enabled by modern computers, transform our ability to reason about the future. The authors here demonstrate a quantitative approach to long-term policy analysis (LTPA). Robust methods enable decisionmakers to examine a vast range of futures and design adaptive strategies to be robust across them. Using sustainable development as an example, the authors discuss how these methods apply to LTPA and a wide range of decis. |
| Contents |
Cover; PREFACE; CONTENTS; FIGURES; TABLES; SUMMARY; ACKNOWLEDGMENTS; ABBREVIATIONS; Chapter One; Chapter Two; Chapter Three; Chapter Four; Chapter Five; Chapter Six; Chapter Seven; Appendix A; Appendix B; BIBLIOGRAPHY; |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references. |
| Local Note |
eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America |
|
JSTOR Books at JSTOR Open Access |
| Subject |
System analysis.
|
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System analysis. |
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Decision making.
|
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Decision making. |
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Information technology.
|
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Information technology. |
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systems analysis. |
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decision making. |
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information technology. |
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POLITICAL SCIENCE -- Public Policy -- General. |
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TRANSPORTATION -- General. |
| Indexed Term |
Samfundsvidenskab Politologi. |
| Genre/Form |
Electronic books.
|
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Electronic books.
|
| Added Author |
Popper, Steven W., 1953-
|
|
Bankes, Steven C.
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| Other Form: |
Print version: Lempert, Robert J. Shaping the next one hundred years. Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2003 (DLC) 2003012438 |
| ISBN |
0833034855 (electronic book) |
|
9780833034854 (electronic book) |
|
9780833032751 |
|
0833032755 |
|
1282451413 |
|
9781282451414 |
| Report No. |
RAND/MR-1626-RPC |
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