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Title Dangerous thresholds : managing escalation in the 21st century / Forrest E. Morgan [and others].

Publication Info. Santa Monica, CA : RAND Project Air Force, 2008.

Item Status

Description 1 online resource (xxvii, 245 pages) : illustrations, maps.
text file PDF
Physical Medium polychrome
Series Rand Corporation monograph series
Rand Corporation monograph series.
Note "MG-614-AF"--Page 4 of cover.
"Prepared for the United States Air Force."
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 225-245).
Contents Ch. 1. Introduction -- Ch. 2. Nature of escalation -- Ch. 3. China's thinking on escalation: evidence from Chinese military writings -- Ch. 4. Regional nuclear powers -- Ch. 5. Escalation in irregular warfare -- Ch. 6. Managing escalation in a complex world -- App. A. China, force, and escalation: continuities between historical behavior and contemporary writings -- App. B. Case studies of escalation in stability operations -- App. C. Modified method for Delphi analyses.
Summary "Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition. When such competition entails military confrontation or war, the pressure to escalate can become intense due to the potential cost of losing contests of deadly force. Cold War-era thinking about escalation focused on the dynamics of bipolar, superpower confrontation and strategies to control it. Today's security environment, however, demands that the United States be prepared for a host of escalatory threats involving not only longstanding nuclear powers, but also new, lesser nuclear powers and irregular adversaries, such as insurgent groups and terrorists. This examination of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global jihad. It reveals that, to manage the risks of escalatory chain reactions in future conflicts, military and political leaders will need to understand and dampen the mechanisms of deliberate, accidental, and inadvertent escalation. Informing the analysis are the results of two modified Delphi exercises, which focused on a potential conflict between China and the United States over Taiwan and a potential conflict between states and nonstate actors in the event of a collapse of Pakistan's government."--Jacket.
Access Use copy Restrictions unspecified MiAaHDL
Reproduction Electronic reproduction. [S.l.] : HathiTrust Digital Library, 2010. MiAaHDL
System Details Master and use copy. Digital master created according to Benchmark for Faithful Digital Reproductions of Monographs and Serials, Version 1. Digital Library Federation, December 2002. http://purl.oclc.org/DLF/benchrepro0212 MiAaHDL
Processing Action digitized 2010 HathiTrust Digital Library committed to preserve MiAaHDL
Local Note eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America
JSTOR Books at JSTOR Open Access
Language English.
Subject Escalation (Military science)
Escalation (Military science)
Conflict management.
Conflict management.
Security, International.
Security, International.
World politics -- 21st century.
World politics.
Chronological Term 21st century
2000-2099
Genre/Form Electronic books.
Electronic books.
Added Author Morgan, Forrest E.
Project Air Force (U.S.)
United States. Air Force.
Other Form: Print version: Dangerous thresholds. Santa Monica, CA : RAND Project Air Force, 2008 9780833042132 0833042130 (DLC) 2008025202 (OCoLC)231583857
ISBN 9780833046369 (electronic book)
0833046365 (electronic book)
9780833042132 (paperback ; alkaline paper)
0833042130 (paperback ; alkaline paper)
1282033212
9781282033214
9786612033216
6612033215
Standard No. 9786612033216
Report No. RAND/MG-614-AF