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Title Modeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system : an independent assessment of TSA's risk management analysis tool and associated methods / Andrew R. Morral [and others].

Publication Info. Santa Monica, CA : Rand Corporation, 2012.

Item Status

Description 1 online resource (xxii, 146 pages) : color illustrations.
Physical Medium polychrome
Description text file
Series RAND Corporation monograph series ; MG1241
Rand Corporation monograph series ; MG1241.
Note At head of title: RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center.
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 135-146).
Summary RAND evaluated a terrorism risk modeling tool developed by the Transportation Security Administration and Boeing to help guide program planning for aviation security. This tool, the Risk Management Analysis Tool, or RMAT, is used by TSA to estimate the terrorism risk-reduction benefits attributable to new and existing security programs, technologies, and procedures. RMAT simulates terrorist behavior and success in attacking vulnerabilities in the domestic commercial air transportation system, drawing on estimates of terrorist resources, capabilities, preferences, decision processes, intelligence collection, and operational planning. It describes how the layers of security protecting the air transportation system are likely to perform when confronted by more than 60 types of attacks, drawing on detailed blast and other physical modeling to understand the damage produced by different weapons and attacks, and calculating expected loss of life and the direct and indirect economic consequences of that damage. This report describes RAND's conclusions about the validity of RMAT for TSA's intended uses and its recommendations for how TSA should perform cost-benefit analyses of its security programs.
Contents Introduction -- RMAT adversary model -- RMAT defender model -- RMAT data requirements and sources -- RMAT model performance and management -- Supporting TSA management and investment decisions with RMAT -- Conclusions -- Requirements for a TSA risk assessment -- Bibliography.
Local Note JSTOR Books at JSTOR Open Access
Subject United States. Transportation Security Administration -- Rules and practice -- Evaluation.
United States. Transportation Security Administration.
Parliamentary practice.
Evaluation.
Risk management -- Mathematical models.
Risk management -- Mathematical models.
Terrorism -- United States -- Prevention.
Terrorism.
United States.
Aeronautics -- United States -- Safety measures -- Evaluation.
Aeronautics.
Industrial safety.
Aeronautics, Commercial -- Security measures -- United States -- Evaluation.
Aeronautics, Commercial -- Security measures.
Genre/Form Electronic book.
Electronic books.
Added Author Morral, Andrew R.
National Defense Research Institute (U.S.)
Rand Corporation.
RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center.
Other Form: Print version: Modeling terrorism risk to the air transportation system 083307685X (DLC) 2012953351 (OCoLC)825197993
ISBN 9780833079749 (electronic book)
0833079743 (electronic book)
083307685X
9780833076854