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Bestseller
BestsellerE-book
Author McGrayne, Sharon Bertsch.

Title The theory that would not die : how Bayes' rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, & emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy / Sharon Bertsch McGrayne.

Publication Info. New Haven [Conn.] : Yale University Press, [2011]
©2011

Item Status

Description 1 online resource (xiii, 320 pages)
Physical Medium polychrome
Description text file
Summary "Bayes' rule appears to be a straightforward, one-line theorem: by updating our initial beliefs with objective new information, we get a new and improved belief. To its adherents, it is an elegant statement about learning from experience. To its opponents, it is subjectivity run amok. In the first-ever account of Bayes' rule for general readers, Sharon Bertsch McGrayne explores this controversial theorem and the human obsessions surrounding it. She traces its discovery by an amateur mathematician in the 1740s through its development into roughly its modern form by French scientist Pierre Simon Laplace. She reveals why respected statisticians rendered it professionally taboo for 150 years--at the same time that practitioners relied on it to solve crises involving great uncertainty and scanty information, even breaking Germany's Enigma code during World War II, and explains how the advent of off-the-shelf computer technology in the 1980s proved to be a game-changer. Today, Bayes' rule is used everywhere from DNA de-coding to Homeland Security. Drawing on primary source material and interviews with statisticians and other scientists, The Theory That Would Not Die is the riveting account of how a seemingly simple theorem ignited one of the greatest controversies of all time"-- Provided by publisher.
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references and index.
Contents pt. 1. Enlightenment and the Anti-Bayesian reaction -- pt. 2. Second World War era -- pt. 3. The glorious revival -- pt. 4. To prove its worth -- pt. 5. Victory 211.
Local Note eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America
Subject Bayesian statistical decision theory -- History.
Bayesian statistical decision theory.
History.
Genre/Form Electronic books.
History.
Other Form: Print version: McGrayne, Sharon Bertsch. Theory that would not die. New Haven [Conn.] : Yale University Press, ©2011 9780300169690 (DLC) 2010045037 (OCoLC)670481486
ISBN 9780300175097 (electronic book)
0300175094 (electronic book)
9780300169690
0300169698