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book
BookPrinted Material
Author Brogan, Michael J., 1972-

Title Modern budget forecasting in the American states : precision, uncertainty, and politics / Michael J. Brogan.

Publication Info. Lanham [Maryland] : Lexington Books, [2014]

Item Status

Location Call No. Status OPAC Message Public Note Gift Note
 Moore Stacks  HJ2053.A1 B695 2014    Available  ---
 Moore Rider Faculty Publications Collection  HJ2053.A1 B695 2014    Available  Ask Librarian for access
Description x, 185 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (pages 161-174) and index.
Contents Preface -- Part I. Introduction to the public budgeting forecast process -- The process and politics of generating budget forecast errors -- Inter-temporal variation, fiscal uncertainty and state-level long-term revenue budget forecasts errors -- Projecting expenditures : revenue uncertainty, public choices, political institutions, elections and forecast errors -- Part II. Interpreting budget forecast errors : fiscal shirking, financial uncertainty and public opinion -- The financial consequences of state-level budget forecast errors -- The electoral consequences of budget forecast errors -- Budget forecasting in the states : reforms, institutions, politics and uncertainty -- Bibliography -- Index -- About the author.
Summary "In light of the current financial crisis in the United States, Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States is crucial for providing readers with a comprehensive review of the limits of budget projections and how political forces shape the forecasting process. Throughout the text, readers are presented with relevant state-specific mini cases, which highlight some of the difficulties in projecting future revenue and spending patterns, as well as the political conflict that can ensue. The empirical findings, mini cases, and arguments presented throughout this book are intended to empower readers, giving them the expertise needed to better understand how uncertainty in public budget forecasts affects the budget process. Ultimately, this knowledge can help citizens connect the financial management of a state with its governing patterns."--Back cover.
Local Note Rider Faculty Publications
Subject Budget -- United States -- States -- Forecasting.
Budget.
United States.
Forecasting.
ISBN 0739168398 (cloth ; alkaline paper)
0739168401 (electronic book)
9780739168394 (cloth ; alkaline paper)
9780739168400 (electronic)
9780739168400 (electronic book)