| Description |
1 online resource (40 pages). |
|
data file |
|
Bibliography |
| Series |
IMF working paper ; WP/12/255
|
|
IMF working paper ; WP/12/255.
|
| Note |
Title from PDF title page (IMF Web site, viewed Oct. 31, 2012). |
| Summary |
This paper analyzes spillovers from macroeconomic shocks in systemic economies (China, the Euro Area, and the United States) to the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region as well as outward spillovers from a GDP shock in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries and MENA oil exporters to the rest of the world. This analysis is based on a Global Vector Autoregression (GVAR) model, estimated for 38 countries/regions over the period 1979Q2 to 2011Q2. Spillovers are transmitted across economies via trade, financial, and commodity price linkages. The results show that the MENA countries are more sensitive to developments in China than to shocks in the Euro Area or the United States, in line with the direction of evolving trade patterns and the emergence of China as a key driver of the global economy. Outward spillovers from the GCC region and MENA oil exporters are likely to be stronger in their immediate geographical proximity, but also have global implications. |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references. |
| Note |
"Middle East and Central Asia Department." |
|
"October 2012." |
| Local Note |
eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America |
| Subject |
Business cycles -- China -- Econometric models.
|
|
Business cycles. |
|
China. |
|
Econometric models. |
|
Business cycles -- Europe -- Econometric models.
|
|
Europe. |
|
Business cycles -- United States -- Econometric models.
|
|
United States. |
|
Business cycles -- Middle East -- Econometric models.
|
|
Middle East. |
|
Business cycles -- Africa, North -- Econometric models.
|
|
North Africa. |
| Genre/Form |
Electronic books.
|
| Added Author |
Mohaddes, Kamiar.
|
|
Raissi, Mehdi.
|
|
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Department.
|
| ISBN |
9781475551914 (electronic book) |
|
1475551916 (electronic book) |
|
9781475581645 |
|
9781475596663 |
|
