| Description |
1 online resource (xv, 64 pages) : illustrations (some color) |
| Physical Medium |
polychrome |
| Description |
text file |
| Note |
"MR-971-EDU"--Page 4 of cover. |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 63-64). |
| Contents |
Figures vii -- Tables ix -- 2. Analytic Framework 7 -- 3. Landscapes of Plausible Futures 29. |
| Summary |
Discusses a study that used a new approach to address the conditions under which California can preserve access to public higher education over the next two decades. The new approach, exploratory modeling, abandons the best-estimate method, instead combining traditional quantitative forecasting with scenario planning to produce, via computer simulation and data similar to those used in other studies, plausible scenarios of the future that clarify key uncertainties facing decisionmakers and provide a framework for stakeholder debate and policy-choice comparison. Presents the scenarios in color-illustrated form, called landscapes of plausible futures, to examine how the interrelationship of three key factors -- demand for higher education, competition for state revenues, and potential productivity improvements -- may affect California higher education. Shows that trends in state funding and productivity improvements dominate the question of future access. Points out that these landscapes could be used in a further study to compare the performance of potential policy choices as a way to determine the best policies to pursue. |
| Local Note |
eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America |
| Subject |
Universities and colleges -- California -- Admission -- Forecasting.
|
|
Universities and colleges. |
|
California. |
|
Forecasting. |
|
College attendance -- California -- Forecasting.
|
|
College attendance. |
|
Government aid to higher education -- California -- Forecasting.
|
|
Government aid to higher education. |
|
Education, Higher -- United States -- Costs -- Forecasting.
|
|
Education, Higher. |
|
United States. |
| Genre/Form |
Electronic books.
|
| Added Author |
Lempert, Robert J.
|
|
Rand Education (Institute)
|
| Other Form: |
Print version: Park, George S. (George Shin-Kye). Class of 2014. Santa Monica : Rand, 1998 0833026143 (DLC) 98007045 (OCoLC)38898024 |
| ISBN |
0585344671 (electronic book) |
|
9780585344676 (electronic book) |
|
0833026143 (alkaline paper) |
|
9780833026149 (alkaline paper) |
| Report No. |
RAND/MR-971-EDU |
|
