Title Whither al-Anbar Province? : five scenarios through 2011 / James B. Bruce, Jeffrey Martini.

Publication Info.

Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2010.

Online access
Online ebook. Open Access via JSTOR.
Online ebook via EBSCO. Access restricted to current Rider University students, faculty, and staff.

Item Status

Description	1 online resource (xiii, 12 pages).
Physical Medium	polychrome.
Description	text file
Series	Occasional paper ; OP-278-MCIA
	Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-278-MCIA.
Bibliography	Includes bibliographical references.
Summary	The withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq will create a vacuum in the way security is achieved and power is exercised throughout Iraq. As U.S. Marines draw down in al-Anbar Province, significant changes can be expected throughout the province in security, political, economic, and even cultural relationships. In late 2008, RAND convened a series of three one-day workshops bringing together civilian and military analysts and practitioners with experience on al-Anbar Province or comparable expertise on Iraq. Workshops participants identified five relatively distinct futures, or scenarios, for al-Anbar that provide plausible but alternative trajectories for the province between early 2009 and the end of 2011. These scenarios resulted from extensive consideration of the major assumptions that may underlie any future projections and the testing of those assumptions in a variety of exercises. The deliberations also focused on the major factors that will shape the development of one or another scenario.
Contents	Executive summary -- What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province? -- How this study was conducted -- Implications -- Major takeaways -- Study approach -- Assumptions -- Drivers -- Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival -- Scenario B: Every clan for itself -- Scenario C: Iron fist -- Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad -- Scenario E: Path to stability -- The importance of drivers -- Indications and warnings -- Conclusions and implications.
Local Note	JSTOR Books at JSTOR Open Access
	eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America
Subject	Social prediction -- Iraq -- Anbār (Province) -- Case studies -- Congresses.
	Social prediction.
	Iraq -- Anbār (Province)
Genre/Form	Case studies.
Subject	Social change -- Iraq -- Anbār (Province) -- Congresses.
	Social change.
	Iraq War, 2003-2011 -- Influence -- Congresses.
	Iraq War (2003-2011)
	Disengagement (Military science) -- Congresses.
	Disengagement (Military science)
	Anbār (Iraq : Province) -- Politics and government -- 21st century -- Forecasting -- Congresses.
	Anba⁺ѕr (Iraq : Province) -- Politics and government -- 21st century -- Forecasting -- Congresses.
	Anbār (Iraq : Province) -- Social conditions -- 21st century -- Forecasting -- Congresses.
	Anbār (Iraq : Province) -- Economic conditions -- 21st century -- Forecasting -- Congresses.
	United States.
	United States.
Chronological Term	2000-2099
Genre/Form	Electronic books.
	Electronic books.
	Conference papers and proceedings.
	Electronic books.
	Conference papers and proceedings.
	Case studies.
Added Author	Martini, Jeffrey.
	Intelligence Policy Center (U.S.)
	United States. Marine Corps Intelligence Activity.
Other Form:	Print version: Bruce, James B. Whither al-Anbar Province? Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2010 9780833048035 (DLC) 2010004239 (OCoLC)503596150
ISBN	9780833050816 (electronic book)
	0833050818 (electronic book)
	9780833048035
	0833048031
Report No.	RAND/OP-278-MCIA

Title Whither al-Anbar Province? : five scenarios through 2011 / James B. Bruce, Jeffrey Martini.

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