| Edition |
1st ed. |
| Description |
xxviii, 366 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm |
| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 331-358) and index. |
| Contents |
Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans. |
| Subject |
Uncertainty (Information theory) -- Social aspects.
|
|
Uncertainty (Information theory) -- Social aspects. |
|
Uncertainty (Information theory) |
|
Forecasting.
|
|
Forecasting. |
| ISBN |
9781400063512 acid-free paper |
|
1400063515 acid-free paper |
|
