| Description |
1 online resource (x, 312 pages) : illustrations. |
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text file PDF |
| Series |
Oxford series in evolution and cognition
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Evolution and cognition.
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| Bibliography |
Includes bibliographical references (pages 261-299) and index. |
| Summary |
"Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This book brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the chapters demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. The text provides a review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of thumb, that people and animals rely on to make decisions under uncertainty, explaining why these are very often more rational than probability models. After a critical look at behavioral theories that do not model actual psychological processes, the book concludes with a call for a 'heuristic revolution' that will enable us to understand the ecological rationality of both statistics and heuristics, and bring a dose of sanity to the study of rationality."--Provided by publisher. |
| Contents |
How I got started teaching physicians and judges risk literacy -- Why do single event probabilities confuse patients? -- HIV screening: helping clinicians make sense of test results -- Breast cancer screening pamphlets mislead women -- Helping doctors and patients make sense of health statistics -- Public knowledge of benefits of breast and prostate cancer screening in Europe -- Heuristic decision making -- The recognition heuristic: a decade of research -- The hot hand exists in volleyball and is used for allocation decisions -- Stereotypes about men's and women's intuitions: a study of two nations -- As-if behavioral economics: neoclassical economics in disguise? -- Personal reflections on theory and psychology. |
| Local Note |
eBooks on EBSCOhost EBSCO eBook Subscription Academic Collection - North America |
| Subject |
Probabilities.
|
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Decision making.
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probability. |
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decision making. |
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PSYCHOLOGY -- Cognitive Psychology. |
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SCIENCE -- Cognitive Science. |
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Decision making |
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Probabilities |
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Mathematics. |
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Physical Sciences & Mathematics. |
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Mathematical Statistics. |
| Genre/Form |
Fulltext.
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Internet Resources.
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| Added Title |
Decision making in the real world |
| Other Form: |
Print version: Gigerenzer, Gerd. Simply rational. Oxford ; New York : Oxford University Press, [2015] 9780199390076 (DLC) 2015002253 (OCoLC)896787318 |
| ISBN |
9780190240684 (ebook) |
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0190240687 (ebook) |
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9780199390083 (electronic bk.) |
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0199390088 (electronic bk.) |
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9780199390076 (hbk.) |
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019939007X (hbk.) |
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