LEADER 00000cam a2200505 i 4500 
001    ocn857879015 
003    OCoLC 
005    20160429114548.0 
008    130923s2014    mdua     b    001 0 eng   
010      2013036292 
019    870890686 
020    0739168398|q(cloth ;|qalkaline paper) 
020    0739168401|q(electronic book) 
020    9780739168394|q(cloth ;|qalkaline paper) 
020    |z9780739168400|q(electronic) 
020    9780739168400|q(electronic book) 
040    DLC|beng|erda|cDLC|dIG#|dYDXCP|dBTCTA|dOCLCO|dCDX|dIPU
       |dOCLCQ 
042    pcc 
043    n-us--- 
049    RIDM 
050 00 HJ2053.A1|bB695 2014 
082 00 352.4/82130973|223 
090    HJ2053.A1|bB695 2014 
100 1  Brogan, Michael J.,|d1972-|0https://id.loc.gov/authorities
       /names/n2013059529 
245 10 Modern budget forecasting in the American states :
       |bprecision, uncertainty, and politics /|cMichael J. 
       Brogan. 
264  1 Lanham [Maryland] :|bLexington Books,|c[2014] 
300    x, 185 pages :|billustrations ;|c24 cm 
336    text|btxt|2rdacontent 
337    unmediated|bn|2rdamedia 
338    volume|bnc|2rdacarrier 
504    Includes bibliographical references (pages 161-174) and 
       index. 
505 0  Preface -- Part I. Introduction to the public budgeting 
       forecast process -- The process and politics of generating
       budget forecast errors -- Inter-temporal variation, fiscal
       uncertainty and state-level long-term revenue budget 
       forecasts errors -- Projecting expenditures : revenue 
       uncertainty, public choices, political institutions, 
       elections and forecast errors -- Part II. Interpreting 
       budget forecast errors : fiscal shirking, financial 
       uncertainty and public opinion -- The financial 
       consequences of state-level budget forecast errors -- The 
       electoral consequences of budget forecast errors -- Budget
       forecasting in the states : reforms, institutions, 
       politics and uncertainty -- Bibliography -- Index -- About
       the author. 
520    "In light of the current financial crisis in the United 
       States, Modern Budget Forecasting in the American States 
       is crucial for providing readers with a comprehensive 
       review of the limits of budget projections and how 
       political forces shape the forecasting process. Throughout
       the text, readers are presented with relevant state-
       specific mini cases, which highlight some of the 
       difficulties in projecting future revenue and spending 
       patterns, as well as the political conflict that can 
       ensue. The empirical findings, mini cases, and arguments 
       presented throughout this book are intended to empower 
       readers, giving them the expertise needed to better 
       understand how uncertainty in public budget forecasts 
       affects the budget process. Ultimately, this knowledge can
       help citizens connect the financial management of a state 
       with its governing patterns."--Back cover. 
590    Rider Faculty Publications 
650  0 Budget|zUnited States|xStates|0https://id.loc.gov/
       authorities/subjects/sh85017605|xForecasting.|0https://
       id.loc.gov/authorities/subjects/sh00005779 
650  7 Budget.|2fast|0https://id.worldcat.org/fast/840336 
650  7 Forecasting.|2fast|0https://id.worldcat.org/fast/931721 
651  7 United States.|2fast|0https://id.worldcat.org/fast/1204155
901    MARCIVE 20231220 
948    |d20160930|clti|tlti-aex 
994    C0|bRID